Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.190861 0.215541 0.241652 0.271282 0.303913 0.338695 0.378516
2025-06-29 0.156260 0.189211 0.226084 0.270210 0.321375 0.378623 0.447304
2025-07-06 0.131593 0.169412 0.213845 0.269486 0.336848 0.415289 0.513033
2025-07-13 0.114558 0.155839 0.206489 0.272490 0.355423 0.455334 0.583856
2025-07-20 0.102894 0.147119 0.203533 0.279669 0.378491 0.501071 0.663082
2025-07-27 0.091427 0.137073 0.197478 0.281711 0.394357 0.537850 0.732189
2025-08-03 0.083269 0.130406 0.194906 0.287543 0.414767 0.580677 0.810224
2025-08-10 0.076988 0.125563 0.194117 0.295266 0.437562 0.627072 0.894297
2025-08-17 0.068819 0.117012 0.187201 0.293614 0.446957 0.655474 0.955041
2025-08-24 0.062139 0.109946 0.181690 0.293272 0.457701 0.685637 1.018759
2025-08-31 0.056171 0.103332 0.176190 0.292320 0.467137 0.713921 1.080437
2025-09-07 0.052495 0.100017 0.175364 0.298104 0.486368 0.756389 1.163060
2025-09-14 0.047671 0.094445 0.170767 0.298098 0.497428 0.788269 1.232921
2025-09-21 0.043315 0.089211 0.166252 0.297815 0.507882 0.819495 1.302799
2025-09-28 0.039430 0.084384 0.161976 0.297518 0.518106 0.850552 1.373279
2025-10-05 0.036609 0.081203 0.160184 0.301057 0.534345 0.891016 1.458803
2025-10-12 0.034761 0.079663 0.161071 0.309020 0.557865 0.943203 1.563367
2025-10-19 0.032219 0.076485 0.158772 0.311329 0.572169 0.981528 1.647920
2025-10-26 0.030481 0.074728 0.158878 0.317722 0.593341 1.031098 1.750994
2025-11-02 0.029144 0.073657 0.160142 0.326149 0.618150 1.087063 1.865416
2025-11-09 0.026646 0.069832 0.155891 0.324369 0.625480 1.115265 1.937095
2025-11-16 0.024544 0.066628 0.152564 0.324005 0.635091 1.147271 2.015469
2025-11-23 0.022559 0.063453 0.149026 0.322974 0.643374 1.177213 2.091188